kurs、通货膨胀、gdp和国际橡胶价格对印尼向中国和美国的橡胶出口的影响

Faisal Fihri, H. Haryadi, Nurhayani Nurhayani
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究旨在:1)计算和分析汇率、通货膨胀、GDP、国际橡胶价格和印尼橡胶对中国和美国出口的发展。2)确定塔朗村女工的收入贡献。3)计算和分析影响印尼橡胶对中国和美国出口的因素。采用的分析方法是描述性定量,采用多元线性回归分析。结果表明,2001 - 2019年汇率走势波动较大,2001 - 2019年平均汇率走势为3.13%。然后是印度尼西亚19年的年平均通货膨胀率,通货膨胀率上下波动。橡胶价格平均上涨9.24%。此外,2001-2019年对中国的橡胶出口量呈下降趋势。2001-2019年橡胶对华出口量的平均增长率为- 1.95%。与此同时,2001-2019年橡胶对美出口量呈增长趋势。2001-2019年对中国的橡胶出口量平均增长1.34%。多元线性回归结果表明,橡胶对中国出口的重要性受到汇率、GDP和橡胶价格等变量的影响。同时,橡胶价格变量仅影响橡胶对美出口量。关键词:橡胶出口,汇率,通货膨胀,GDP,橡胶价格
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Pengaruh kurs, inflasi, PDB dan harga karet internasional terhadap ekspor karet Indonesia Ke Tiongkok dan Amerika Serikat
This study aims to: 1) calculate and analyze the development of exchange rates, inflation, GDP, international rubber prices, and Indonesian rubber exports to China and the United States. 2) To determine the income contribution of women workers in Talang Village, 3). To calculate and analyze the factors that affect the export of Indonesian rubber to China and the United States. The analytical method used is descriptive quantitative using multiple linear regression analysis. The results show that the exchange rate development fluctuated from 2001 to 2019, with an average exchange rate development from 2001 to 2019 of 3.13 percent. Then the average general annual inflation of Indonesia for 19 years with inflation developments that occur up and down or fluctuate. The average growth of rubber prices is 9.24 percent. Furthermore, the volume of rubber exports to China in 2001-2019 tends to decrease. The average development of rubber export volume to China in 2001-2019 was -1.95 percent. Meanwhile, the development of rubber export volume to America in 2001-2019 tends to increase. The average growth of rubber export volume to China in 2001-2019 was 1.34 percent. Based on the results of multiple linear regression, the importance of rubber exports to China is influenced by the variables of the exchange rate, GDP, and rubber prices. Meanwhile, the rubber price variable only affects the volume of rubber exports to America.  Keywords: Export of rubber, Exchange rate, Inflation, GDP, Rubber price
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