一种利用混合机器学习方法预测塔塔汽车股价的有效方法

Abhishek Bajpai, A. Singh, Abhineet Verma
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引用次数: 1

摘要

股票市场分析一直是各国金融部门的一个重要方面。到目前为止,各种各样的研究已经完成了预测股票市场价格,但只考虑技术股票数据。然而,问题在于如何将股票价格的技术数据与财经新闻数据中的新闻情绪结合起来,从而使预测更加准确。在本文中,我们设计了一个股票价格预测系统,并提出了一种方法,即用技术手段对技术股票数据进行评估,用情绪分析将新闻情绪数据以情绪向量的形式表示。我们利用粒子群优化(PSO)对支持向量机回归(SVR)的超参数进行了调整,从而提供了更好的结果。我们对塔塔汽车的股价数据进行了实验,并将我们的方法与[1]进行了比较,[1]采用了考虑基本技术特征的SVM-PSO模型。与标准SVM- PSO的平均绝对百分比误差0.71%相比,我们的金融新闻数据模型SVR-PSO的平均绝对百分比误差为0.29%
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Efficient Method to Predict the Tata- Motors Stock Price using Hybrid Machine Learning Methods
Stock market analysis has always been an important aspect of every country's financial sector. As of now, various research has been done to predict the stock market prices but only considering the technical stock data. However, the problem lies in combining the technical data of stock prices and news sentiments from financial news data so that prediction can be done with much greater accuracy. In our paper, we have designed a stock price prediction system and proposed an approach in which technical stock Data is evaluated by technical means and news sentiment data is represented in the form of sentiment vectors using sentiment analysis. We have deployed Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to tune the hyper- parameters of the Support Vector Machine for regression (SVR), thus providing better results. We have done experiments on the Tata Motors stock price data and compared our approach with [1] who have deployed the SVM-PSO model with basic technical features taken into consideration. Our model SVR-PSO with financial news data gives a Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 0.29% as compared to the standard SVM- PSO which gives a Mean Absolute Percentage Error of 0.71 %
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