危机时期地方预算的财政稳定:问题与解决办法

I. Fedorova, A. Frygin
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摘要

目的:评估公共部门面临的威胁的增长程度,重点是它们对地方预算财政稳定性的影响,考虑由市政当局使用一套预算和金融工具来抵消危机条件下日益增长的预算风险的可行性。方法:本研究是在采用系统方法的基础上,采用一般的科学方法,包括分析、综合、比较,以及运用经济学和统计学的方法对分析数据进行分析处理、类比和科学概括,以表格的方式将研究结果可视化。结果:通过对影响因素的分析和评估,可以证实莫斯科州预算使用一套预算、财政、税收和其他管理工具的便宜性,这些工具可确保在危机期间提高预算对社会经济进程的影响效率。报告指出,越来越多的预算风险在更大程度上与不确定性和不可预见的经济形势有关,并影响地方预算的财政稳定。提出了评估预算危机状态的深度和根据优化预算收入和支出指标确定市政部门经济可能复苏的速度的方法,这有助于增加财政稳定性。结论和相关性:在危机时期评估地方预算财政稳定性的方法得到批准表明,行政当局可以更迅速和充分地对正在发生的变化作出反应,找到最佳的、往往是非标准的方法来解决问题和减少负面后果,同时考虑到尽可能充分地执行当前立法机构规定的职能。拟议的办法创造了一个机会,可以建立新的系统机制,使市政府机构和其他经济实体在互利的基础上相互作用。在预算日益紧张的背景下,这使当局能够积极和迅速地采取行动,尽量减少对确保预算可持续性的威胁,这对于在这一危机时期维持领土社会经济稳定尤其重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial stability of local budgets in crisis periods: problems and solutions
Purpose: to assess the degree of growth of threats to the public sector, with an emphasis on their impact on the financial stability of local budgets, to consider the feasibility of using a set of budgetary and financial instruments by municipal authorities to counteract budgetary risks growing in crisis conditions.Methods: the study is based on the use of a systematic approach, general scientific methods, including analysis, synthesis, comparison, as well as the use of methods of economic and statistical analysis and processing of analytical data, analogies and scientific generalizations, a tabular way of visualizing research results.Results: the analysis and assessment of the factors of influence made it possible to substantiate the expediency of using by the budgets of the Moscow Region of a set of budgetary, financial, tax and other management tools that ensure an increase in the efficiency of budgetary impact on socio-economic processes during the period of crisis. Growing budget risks associated to a greater extent with the uncertainty and unforeseen economic situation and affecting the financial stability of local budgets are identified. The methodology for assessing the depth of the crisis state of budgets and determining the pace of a possible recovery of the economy of the municipal sector based on optimizing the indicators of budget revenues and expenditures, which helps to increasing financial stability, is proposed.Conclusions and Relevance: the approbation of the methodology for assessing the financial stability of local budgets in times of crisis has shown that administrations can more quickly and adequately respond to ongoing changes, find optimal, often non-standard ways to solve problems and reduce negative consequences, taking into account the fullest possible implementation of the functions provided for by the current legislature. The proposed approach creates an opportunity for building new systemic mechanisms for the interaction of municipal government bodies and other economic entities on a mutually beneficial basis. In the context of increasing budget tension, this enables the authorities to act proactively and quickly minimize threats to ensuring the sustainability of budgets, which is especially important for maintaining socio-economic territorial stability in this crisis period.
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