文化反弹还是世界观进化?

Erik R. Tillman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章探讨威权主义、年龄和激进右翼政党支持之间的关系。这本书的世界观演变提出,威权主义和激进右翼政党的支持之间的关系应该在年轻选民中更加强烈。然而,另一种对立的文化反弹观点认为,这种关系应该在老年选民中最为强烈,他们是在传统价值观和多样性较少的时代被社会化的。分析发现了与世界观进化论点一致的证据,同时导致了对文化反弹假说的拒绝。无论是年长的选民还是年长的高级独裁者,都不太可能支持激进的右翼政党。然而,除了英国之外,各国的年轻选民对威权主义和激进右翼政党的支持之间的关系更为强烈。这一发现表明,世界观的演变更多地是由先前对政党依恋较少的年轻选民推动的,这也应该导致对民粹主义激进右翼政党的支持主要来自即将在选民中被取代的老龄化人口群体的说法的驳斥。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cultural Backlash or Worldview Evolution?
This chapter examines the relationship between authoritarianism, age, and radical right party support. This book’s worldview evolution proposes that the relationship between authoritarianism and radical right party support should be stronger among younger voters. However, a rival cultural backlash argument suggests that the relationship should be strongest among older voters, who were socialized in an era of traditional values and less diversity. The analysis finds evidence consistent with the worldview evolution argument while leading to a rejection of the cultural backlash hypothesis. Neither older voters nor older high authoritarians are more likely to support radical right parties. However, the relationship between authoritarianism and radical right party support is stronger among younger voters in each country besides the United Kingdom. This finding suggests that the worldview evolution is driven more by younger voters with fewer prior party attachments, and it also should lead to a rejection of the claim that populist radical right party support comes mostly from ageing demographic groups who will soon be replaced in the electorate.
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