{"title":"早期科技公司的估值","authors":"Kingsley Jones","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3596659","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The valuation of early-stage technology companies is challenging due to: the lack of clear operating history; disruptive new business models; a rapidly changing landscape for new entrants; and the unpredictable competitive push-back of powerful incumbent players. Revenue based multiples are standard, but these need to be reconciled with a terminal valuation stuck on profitability. There is a simple method to do this, we call it the \"Golden Rule\", which embodies simple accounting identities that tie present value via sales uplift over five years to a future profit number struck on net margin. This can be used to square valuations against differing profitability metrics by industry.","PeriodicalId":124392,"journal":{"name":"Chicago Booth: Michael P. Polsky Center for Entrepreneurship Research Paper Series","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Valuation for Early-Stage Technology Companies\",\"authors\":\"Kingsley Jones\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3596659\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The valuation of early-stage technology companies is challenging due to: the lack of clear operating history; disruptive new business models; a rapidly changing landscape for new entrants; and the unpredictable competitive push-back of powerful incumbent players. Revenue based multiples are standard, but these need to be reconciled with a terminal valuation stuck on profitability. There is a simple method to do this, we call it the \\\"Golden Rule\\\", which embodies simple accounting identities that tie present value via sales uplift over five years to a future profit number struck on net margin. This can be used to square valuations against differing profitability metrics by industry.\",\"PeriodicalId\":124392,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Chicago Booth: Michael P. Polsky Center for Entrepreneurship Research Paper Series\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-10-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Chicago Booth: Michael P. Polsky Center for Entrepreneurship Research Paper Series\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3596659\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Chicago Booth: Michael P. Polsky Center for Entrepreneurship Research Paper Series","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3596659","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The valuation of early-stage technology companies is challenging due to: the lack of clear operating history; disruptive new business models; a rapidly changing landscape for new entrants; and the unpredictable competitive push-back of powerful incumbent players. Revenue based multiples are standard, but these need to be reconciled with a terminal valuation stuck on profitability. There is a simple method to do this, we call it the "Golden Rule", which embodies simple accounting identities that tie present value via sales uplift over five years to a future profit number struck on net margin. This can be used to square valuations against differing profitability metrics by industry.