越南经济可持续增长:冠状病毒大流行的挑战与机遇

L. Guzikova, Thi Hong Van Lo, T. Nguyen
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这篇文章代表了越南抗击新冠肺炎疫情的经验以及新冠肺炎疫情对越南经济的影响。运用历史和逻辑的方法来研究冠状病毒在越南的传播和政府对大流行的反应。本文采用的方法是在可持续发展观的基础上,区分可持续经济增长和可持续经济发展的概念。重点分析了越南迅速控制国内疫情的原因。根据国际组织的资料和越南总统计局的数据,从结构方面估计了疫情对工业的影响。国家创新体系和数字化转型成果在抗击新冠肺炎疫情中发挥重要作用。根据越南研究所的投资开发银行数据和世界货币基金组织对越南经济增长前景的预测,越南在冠状病毒大流行后实现可持续经济增长并加入新工业国家集团的机遇和挑战得到了证明。通过对2020年前6个月和2019年同期工业生产的比较,揭示了制造业发展的局限性。得出了越南经济在冠状病毒大流行期间和之后的抵抗力和增长机会的结论。调查结果可供研究经济发展问题的研究人员和参与发展中国家经济计划的决策者使用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sustainable economic growth in Vietnam: challenges and opportunities of the coronavirus pandemic
The article represents the experience of Vietnam in the fight against coronavirus and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the country's economy. Historical and logical methods are applied to examine the spread of coronavirus in Vietnam and the government's response to the pandemic. The approach used by the authors us based on the sustainable development concept and distinguishing the concepts of sustainable economic growth and sustainable economic development. The main attention is paid to the analysis of the reasons to allowed Vietnam's quick taking control over the epidemic situation in the country. Based on the materials of international organisations and data from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam, the impact of the pandemic on industry is estimated in terms of its structure. The important roles of the national innovation system and the achievements in digital transformation are revealed in the fight against coronavirus. The opportunities and chanllenges for Vietnam to achieve sustainable economic growth and to join the group of new industrial countries after the coronavirus pandemic are proven on the basis of the Vietnam Research Institute's of the Bank for Investment and Development data and of the World Monetary Fund's forecasts about the prospects of Vietnam's economic growth. By comparison of industrial production for the first six months of 2020 and for the similar period of 2019 the limitations in the development of manufacturing industry are disclosed. The conclusions are made about the resistance of Vietnamese economy and its growth opportunity during and after the coronavirus pandemic. The results of the investigation may be used by researchers studying the problems of economic development and by policy-makers involved in economic planning of developing countries.
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