计算机评论家在消除决策分析中的人为错误方面的作用

T. Mezher, R. Sayegh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

管理者使用决策分析来构建他们的决策过程。决策是信息处理的核心。人不是最优的决策者,他们很容易犯错误。这些错误会导致严重的后果。管理人员可以使用计算机批评来避免这些错误。批评家是监视决策分析过程的智能软件包,并就他们的理性、判断和决策向决策者提供建议。在本文中,作者讨论了决策错误的来源。此外,他们还介绍了批评技术及其在减少决策分析中的人为错误方面的有效性。最后,他们展示了一个使用计算机批评来减少概率评估中的人为错误的例子。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The role of computer critics in eliminating human errors in decision analysis
Managers use decision analysis to structure their decision making process. Decision making is the heart of information processing. People are not optimal decision makers, they are prone to make errors. These errors can lead to serious consequences. Managers can use computer critics to avoid these errors. Critics are intelligent software packages that monitor decision analysis process and counsel decision makers on their reason, judgment and decision making. In this paper, the authors discuss the sources of errors in decision making. In addition, they introduce the critiquing technology and its effectiveness in reducing human errors in decision analysis. Finally, they show an example of using computer critics to reduce human errors in probability assessment.<>
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