基于GM(0,N)模型的澳门邮轮服务

Qing Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

邮轮的行程预测有利于邮轮的管理。为了证明灰色GM (0, N)应用于邮轮服务的可行性和准确性,对2014年至2105年每月从香港出发前往澳门的邮轮数量进行预测。通过灰色精度等级对模型的精度进行了检验和分析。此外,通过灰色关联度分析游轮与外部员工之间的相互关系,找出两个变量之间的影响因子。结果表明,灰色预测数与实际观测数吻合较好,游轮的便利性是吸引邻近城市人才的重要因素之一,将GM (0, N)应用于邮轮是一种科学的方法。本研究为邮轮合理安排时间,解决邮轮劳动力短缺问题,提高邮轮服务水平提供了有益的参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Service of macau cruise ships based on GM(0,N) model
Prediction of the schedule of cruise ships benefits the managements of cruise ships. In order to prove the feasibility and accuracy of the grey GM (0, N) which is applied to cruise ships service, the number of monthly cruise ships which left Hong Kong for Macau from 2014 to 2105 are forecasted. The precision of the model is tested and analyzed by grey precision grades. Additionally, an interrelationship between cruise ships and external employee is analyzed by grey correlation degree to find out the impact factor of two variables. Its outcome shows that it is a scientific method to apply GM (0, N) to cruise ships because the grey predicted number closely matches the actual observed number and the convenience of cruise ships is one important factor in attracting talent in adjacent cities. This research provides a useful reference for the improvement of cruise ships' service by offering reasonable time arrangement of cruise ships and solving shortage of labor.
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