客户负载概况的统计分布

A. Seppala
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引用次数: 55

摘要

电力公司出于多种目的需要客户负荷的数据。负荷研究是一项收集、分析负荷数据并将结果进一步分发给电力公司管理层和工程师的活动。芬兰负荷研究项目开发了一年的客户级小时负荷模型,具有平均负荷值和标准差。在许多情况下,在分销计划或定价应用中,置信区间必须近似于不同的客户或小客户群。单纯使用正态分布不能对单个客户的置信区间给出可靠的估计。因此,需要从客户负载配置文件的分布中获取更多信息。芬兰负荷研究项目研究了不同客户类别的分类负荷分布。本文报道了客户负荷分布函数的研究,并对一些结果进行了说明。并对相关理论背景进行了评述。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical distribution of customer load profiles
The electric utilities need data from customer loads for many purposes. Load research has been activity to collect load data, analyse it and further distribute the results for management and engineers in an electric utility. The Finnish load research project has developed customer class hourly load models for one year with average load values and standard deviation. In many cases in distribution planning or pricing applications the confidence intervals must be approximated for distinct customers or small groups of customers. The simple use of normal distribution will not give reliable estimations for confidence intervals of one customer. Therefore more information is needed from distributions of customer load profiles. The Finnish load research project has studied the disaggregated load distributions of different customer categories. In this report the study of distribution functions of customer load profiles is reported and some results explained. Also some background theory is reviewed.
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