福岛核灾难对国内海产品价格的影响:食品安全事件研究

Hongkwon Yoo, Won-jun Chung, Hanyong Shim, Byeongseon Seo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的主要目的是利用事件研究评估福岛核电站污染水泄漏对鳕鱼和鲭鱼等国内海产品价格的影响。为了进行分析,我们设计了一个事件研究,将污染水泄漏前的时间段作为估计窗口,将污染水泄漏发生后的时间段作为评价窗口。本文基于国内海产品价格与进口价格的长期均衡关系,考察污染水泄漏后,国内海产品价格偏离了与进口价格的均衡关系。实证结果表明,污染水泄漏后,国内海产品价格偏离了评价窗口内的均衡关系。因此,价格偏离表明异常运动,这是发现持续和显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impacts of the Fukushima Nuclear Disaster on the Domestic Seafood Price: An Event Study on Food Safety
The principal objective of this study is to provide an assessment on the effect of the contaminated water leakage at the Fukushima nuclear power plant on the price of domestic seafood such as pollock and mackerel using the event study. For the analysis, we design an event study by constructing the period before the leakage of contaminated water as the estimation window, and the period from the time of the occurrence of contaminated water leakage as the evaluation window. Based on the long-run equilibrium relationship between domestic seafood price and import price, our study investigates that the price of domestic seafood deviates from the equilibrium relationship with the import price after the leak of contaminated water. The empirical results demonstrate evidence that domestic seafood prices deviates from the equilibrium relationship in the evaluation window after the leakage of contaminated water. Consequently the price deviation indicates abnormal movement, which was found persistent and significant.
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