日常出行行为:从为期一周的调查中提取人类出行动机相关信息的经验教训

C. Schneider, C. Rudloff, D. Bauer, Marta C. González
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引用次数: 36

摘要

随着计算能力的提高,用于模拟城市人口移动行为的多智能体模型正获得越来越多的发展势头。为了能够可靠地匹配真实世界的行为,这种模型对输入数据提出了很高的要求。为了运行这些模型,需要根据真实世界的观察结果生成一个反映典型移动需求的合成人口。传统上,这是通过旅行日记调查来完成的,这是昂贵的(因此样本量相对较小),主要关注旅行选择,而不是一整天的活动。因此,在这种情况下,合成种群的产生要么依赖于对相同的活动链进行重新采样,要么依赖于对白天发生的各种旅行施加独立性。这两种假设都不现实。使用通话详细记录(cdr)可以发现,个人每天的移动只使用少量的移动模式。这些模式被称为主题,在许多不同的城市中稳定地出现,正如CDR数据和旅行日记所显示的那样。本文研究了这些基元与其他与迁移量有关的量,如移动距离和时间分布以及模式选择之间的关系。此外,还讨论了母题(与多日模拟相关)和模式转换的转换概率。主要发现是,虽然一些特征似乎与基序无关,但其他特征(如模式选择)表现出很强的相关性,这可以改善多智能体模型合成种群的提供。因此,本文的结果被视为朝着为多智能体模型创建现实的(相对于移动行为)合成种群的方向又迈进了一步,以便分析城市地区多式联运系统的性能或疾病传播。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Daily travel behavior: lessons from a week-long survey for the extraction of human mobility motifs related information
Multi-agent models for simulating the mobility behavior of the urban population are gaining momentum due to increasing computing power. Such models pose high demands in terms of input data in order to be reliably able to match real world behavior. To run the models a synthetic population mirroring typical mobility demand needs to be generated based on real world observations. Traditionally this is done using travel diary surveys, which are costly (and hence have relatively low sample size) and focus mainly on trip choice rather than on activities for an entire day. Thus in this setting the generation of synthetic populations either relies on resampling identical activity chains or on imposing independence of various trips occurring during the day. Both assumptions are not realistic. Using Call Detail Records (CDRs) it has been found that individual daily movement uses only a small number of movement patterns. These patterns, termed motifs, appear stably in many different cities, as has been shown for both CDR data as well as travel diaries. In this paper the relation between these motifs and other mobility related quantities like the distribution of travel distances and times as well as mode choice is investigated. Additionally transition probabilities both for motifs (relevant for multi-day simulations) and mode transitions are discussed. The main finding is that while some of the characteristics seem to be unrelated to motifs, others such as mode choice exhibit strong correlations which could improve the provision of synthetic populations for multi-agent models. Thus the results in this paper are seen as one step further towards the creation of realistic (with respect to mobility behavior) synthetic populations for multi-agent models in order to analyze the performance of multi-modal transportation systems or disease spreading in urban areas.
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