基于改进思维进化算法和误差补偿的小波神经网络短期交通流预测

Yumeng Zhou, Yuchao Lv, Xi Jiang, Xijun Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在智能交通系统的研究与设计中,城市道路交通控制与引导是一个重要的研究课题,短期交通流预测也是城市道路交通控制与引导的重要研究内容。组合预测模型是近年来短期交通流预测模型的研究趋势。目前,有一种心灵进化算法的预测模型来优化小波神经网络(MEA-WNN)。思维进化算法的收敛与疏离过于随机,公告板信息不补充。本文介绍了一种类似于粒子群优化(PSO)的收敛后粒子运动位置更新方法。为此,构建了基于改进思维进化算法(IMEA-WNN)的小波神经网络预测模型。为了提高预测模型的精度,引入误差补偿方法构建了IMEA-EC-WNN组合预测模型。本文将IMEA-EC-WNN模型的仿真结果与其他预测模型进行了比较。IMEA-EC-WNN模型预测效果较好,具有实际应用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
WNN Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Improved Mind Evolutionary Algorithm and Error Compensation
In the research and design of intelligent traffic system, urban road traffic control and guidance is an important research topic, and short-term traffic flow prediction is also an important research content of urban road traffic control and guidance. The combined prediction model is the research trend of short-term traffic flow prediction model in recent years. Nowadays, there is a prediction model of mind evolutionary algorithm to optimize wavelet neural network (MEA-WNN). The convergence and alienation of mind evolutionary algorithm are too random, and the bulletin board information is not supplemented. This paper introduces the particle movement update position method after convergence, which is similar to particle swarm optimization(PSO). Thus, WNN prediction model based on improved mind evolution algorithm (IMEA-WNN) is constructed. In order to improve the accuracy of the prediction model, the error compensation method is introduced to construct the combined prediction model (IMEA-EC-WNN). In this paper, the simulation results of IMEA-EC-WNN model are compared with other prediction models. The prediction effect of IMEA-EC-WNN model is better, and it has practical application value.
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