加入WTO与增长:唐、魏等

A. Brotto, A. Jakubik, R. Piermartini
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在WTO成立25周年之际,本文重新评估了加入WTO对经济增长的影响。加入多边贸易体制不仅扩大了进入国际市场的机会,而且要求致力于国内改革。Tang和Wei(2009)表明,事实上WTO对增长也有积极的影响,在加入WTO期间,这些承诺也被承担。在本文中,我们将Tang和Wei的分析扩展到32个新加入的国家。我们发现,加入WTO与GDP增长的显著正增长有关。这种影响比以前估计的要大。我们发现,加入WTO五年后,一个经济体的规模会扩大30%,而且加入WTO对经济增长的影响会持续到前五年之后。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
WTO Accession and Growth: Tang and Wei Redux
On the occasion of the 25th anniversary of the WTO, this paper re-estimates the impact of WTO accession on growth. Joining the multilateral trading system not only expands access to international markets but also requires commitment to domestic reforms. Tang and Wei (2009) showed that there is in fact a positive effect of WTO on growth also during the period of accession when these commitments are undertaken. In this paper, we extend Tang and Wei's analysis to the sample of 32 newly acceded countries. We find that WTO accession is associated with a significant positive increase in GDP growth. This effect is larger than previously estimated. We find that five years after accession an economy is 30% larger, and that the impact of WTO entry on growth persists beyond the first five years.
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