基于系统动力学(SD)和战略假设、表面测试(SAST)的伊朗石油工业旋转设备备件可持续供应模型

M. Hosseinzadeh, M. Mehregan, H. Ghayem
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摘要

摘要石油行业旋转设备的供应存在设备磨损、成本高、停机时间长等问题,给产品的可持续生产带来严重风险。本研究采用系统动力学(SD)和战略假设分析与测试(SAST)相结合的方法,针对阿巴丹炼油厂国家公司的数据,对石油行业旋转设备备件可持续供应系统进行了系统干预,并将商定的解决方案提取为:1)经济可持续性,即石油工业对零配件制造业的投资,改革维修合同,监控零配件的设计和制造过程;2)社会可持续性,如修改供应招标法,在零配件制造商和石油工业专家之间传递经验,增加用户培训和安全培训;3)环境可持续性。包括淘汰老化设备,更换绿色设备,遵守安全和环境标准,审查预防性预测性维护计划。结果表明,结合经济、社会和环境三个可持续发展战略,辅以政府对零部件制造业的支持和地方专家的培训计划,零部件的可持续供应将得到改善。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sustainable Supply Model of Rotating Equipment Spare Parts in Iran’s Oil Industry using a Combined Approach of System Dynamics (SD) and Strategic Assumptions Surfacing and Testing (SAST)
Abstract The supply of rotating equipment for the oil industry poses a serious risk to the sustainable production of the products due to equipment wear, high costs, and high downtime. In this research, a systematic intervention is done in the system of sustainable supply of rotating equipment spare-parts in the oil industry as to the Abadan Oil Refinery National Company’s data, applying a combined approach of System Dynamics (SD) and Strategic Assumptions Surfacing and Testing (SAST), and the agreed solutions are extracted as: 1) economic sustainability, namely oil industry investment in spare-parts’ manufacturing industry, reforming the repair-maintenance contracts, and monitoring the process of designing and manufacturing the spare-parts, 2) social sustainability, say, amending the law on supply tenders, transferring the experience among the spare parts’ manufacturers and the oil industry specialists, and increasing the user training and safety training, and 3) environmental sustainability, including decommissioning worn-out equipment and replacing with green equipment, observing the safety and environmental standards, and reviewing the preventive predictive maintenance program. The results show that the sustainable supply of spareparts will improve by combining the three strategies of economic, social and environmental sustainability, accompanied by government support of the spare-parts’ manufacturing industry and local specialists’ training plans.
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