美国世纪结束了吗?作者:小约瑟夫·s·奈(书评)

Ehsan M. Ahrari
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引用次数: 0

摘要

关于外交政策的一个没完没了的辩论是,美国是一个衰落的大国,还是一个已经倒退为曾经的超级大国的国家。一些观察人士似乎对美国衰落可以逆转的观点持开放态度。然而,悲观主义者认为美国的衰落几乎是完全的,甚至可能是不可逆转的。不用说,目前尚无定论。美国作为一个衰落大国的问题是多方面的,它在许多博学的学者和政策实践者之间展开了热烈而有吸引力的讨论。小约瑟夫·s·奈(Joseph S. Nye Jr.)是研究这一问题和美国外交政策其他各种问题的最具独创性的思想家之一,他在他的新书《美国世纪结束了吗?》在书中,当他讨论冷战和后冷战时期时,他用鲜明的语言定义了“美国世纪”——一个美国享有“权力资源优势”的时代,一个美国有能力为其他国家“制定规则”的时代,一个美国有能力“得到自己喜欢的(外交政策)结果”的时代。奈的重点是美国在1945年至2008年经济危机期间建立并成功管理非共产主义经济秩序的时期。他对美国世纪的描述包括“自第二次世界大战开始以来的一段时间,在这段时间里,美国在没有完全控制的情况下,拥有经济实力资源的首要地位,并成为全球力量平衡的中心角色。”他说,美国世纪的诞生日期是1941年,而它的死亡日期“不确定”。奈以他惯常的博学风格处理美国“衰落”的问题。他
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Is the American Century Over? by Joseph S. Nye Jr. (review)
One of the interminable debates about foreign policy is whether the United States is a declining power or a country that has already regressed into a hasbeen superpower. Some observers along this continuum appear open to the proposition that America’s waning can be reversed. However, pessimists regard America’s decline as virtually complete and maybe even irreversible. Needless to say, the jury is still out. The issue of America as a declining power is multidimensional, and it opens up spirited and engaging discussions among many learned scholars and policy practitioners. Joseph S. Nye Jr., one of the most original thinkers on this and a variety of other matters on US foreign policy, couches this debate in a wider context in his new book, Is the American Century Over? In it, he defines the “American century” in stark terms when he discusses the Cold War and post – Cold War periods — an era when the United States enjoyed “a preponderance of power resources,” when it was capable of “setting the rules” for other nations, and when it was capable of “getting the [foreign policy] outcomes one prefers.” Nye’s focus is on the period when the United States established the noncommunist economic order and successfully managed it from 1945 until the economic crisis of 2008. His description of the American century includes “the period since the beginning of World War II, when the United States, without full control, had primacy in economic power resources, and became a central actor in the global balance of power.” The American century’s date of birth, he says, is 1941, and its date of death “uncertain.” Nye handles the issue of American “decline” in his customary erudite style. He
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