技术变革、自动化与就业:理论与证据综述

K. Ramaswamy
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引用次数: 17

摘要

对技术变革、自动化和就业领域的最新论文进行了选择性调查。其目的是传达分析思想和经验证据,这些观点和证据为当代政策相关领域的研究提供了信息。当机器完成以前可能由人完成的工作时,自动化就发生了。机器人和自动化如何影响劳动力的就业机会?很少有新兴的研究用机器人在不同经济部门的使用和就业的详细数据来解决这个问题。根据我们对现有研究和经验证据的回顾,可以做出以下陈述:(1)增加自动化和机器人的采用似乎不会导致总体就业损失(2)常规工作中的低技能工人更有可能遭受失业。(3)对新型技术工人或职业新专业的需求将会增加。未来的自动化加剧了各国劳动力市场的不确定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Technological Change, Automation and Employment: A Short Review of Theory and Evidence
A selective survey of recent papers in the area of technological change, automation and employment is presented. The objective is to convey analytical ideas and the empirical evidence that have informed studies in this area of contemporary policy relevance. Automation occurs when a machine does work that might previously have been done by a person. How robots and automation affect the availability of jobs for labor force? There are very few emerging studies that address the issue with detailed data on robots usage and employment in different sectors of the economy. Based on our review of available studies and empirical evidence the following statements can be made: (1) Increasing automation and robots adoption do not seem to cause loss of employment in the aggregate (2) Low skilled workers in routine jobs are more likely to suffer job losses. (3) There will be demand for new types of skilled workers or new specializations within occupations. Prospective automation intensifies the degree of uncertainty in labor markets across countries.
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