基于可穿戴技术的健康和人寿保险定价概念模型

Michael V. McCrea, M. Farrell
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引用次数: 16

摘要

创建健康风险评分是为了调查使用可穿戴技术提供的数据来帮助预测整体健康和死亡率的可能性,最终目标是使用该评分来提高健康或人寿保险的定价。受试者被分为低危组、高危组和高危组,在对结果进行年龄和性别校正后,Cox比例风险分析显示在预测死亡率时具有高度显著性。研究显示,高风险受试者相对于低风险组的风险比为2.1,这可以解释为年龄增加了7.8岁。我们的研究结果有助于证明,通过可穿戴设备测量的潜在新评级因素的预测能力,可以将其纳入保险精算定价模型。该模型还为保险公司开始考虑将连续可穿戴数据纳入当前风险模型提供了初步步骤。考虑到这一点,重点放在研究的局限性上,以突出在将该模型的各个方面纳入当前定价模型之前必须解决的领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Conceptual Model for Pricing Health and Life Insurance Using Wearable Technology
A health risk score was created to investigate the possibility of using data provided by wearable technology to help predict overall health and mortality, with the ultimate goal of using this score to enhance the pricing of health or life insurance. Subjects were categorized into low‐, increased‐, and high‐risk groups, and after results were adjusted for age and sex, Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed a high level of significance when predicting mortality. High‐risk subjects were shown to have a hazard ratio of 2.1 relative to those in the low‐risk group, which can be interpreted as an equivalent increase in age of 7.8 years. Our findings help to demonstrate the predictive capabilities of potential new rating factors, measured via wearables, that could feasibly be incorporated into actuarial insurance pricing models. The model also provides an initial step for insurers to begin to consider the incorporation of continuous wearable data into current risk models. With this in mind, an emphasis is placed on the limitations of the study in order to highlight the areas that must be addressed before incorporating aspects of this model within current pricing models.
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