基于机器学习的风速时间序列分析

T. Akinci, Oguzhan Topsakal, Andrew Wernerbach
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于机器学习的预测分析为估计可再生能源提供了高精度的结果。由于季节和地理差异,风能的准确预测对于管理存储资源至关重要。此外,风力发电的不连续性和不确定性带来的挑战需要能源经济学家和数据科学家进行准确的预测。在这项研究中,研究人员使用了2019年、2020年和2021年加州的小时平均风速数据,利用AutoML工具之一Fedot进行了时间序列分析和预测。此外,在分析中评估RMSE、MAE和MAPE结果。估计结果与这些统计评价一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Machine learning-based wind speed time series analysis
Machine Learning-based forecasting analysis provides high-accuracy results in estimating renewable energy sources. Having an accurate forecast of wind energy is essential to manage storage resources due to seasonal and geographical differences. In addition, the challenges posed by the discontinuity and uncertainty of wind power require accurate forecasts for energy economists and data scientists. In this study, hourly average wind speed data covering the years 2019, 2020, and 2021 in California were used to perform a time series analysis and forecasting utilizing one of the AutoML tools, Fedot. In addition, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE results were evaluated in the analyzes performed. Estimation results are consistent with these statistical evaluations.
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