过去30年的气候变化研究案例:罗马尼亚西部地区

C. Chis, A. Okros, V. Mircov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化是当今社会的一个重要问题。我们的研究以罗马尼亚西部地区为例,由阿拉德县、蒂米斯县、卡拉斯-塞维林县、胡内多阿拉县组成,结果表明,这些县之间的气候变化存在显著差异。在本文中,我们分析了1991-2021年期间该地区年降水量、季节降水量以及最低气温、最高气温和中气温的演变。对数据的统计分析表明,年平均气温有所上升,观测到的变化在夏季和冬季更为明显。除了冬季气温的上升趋势外,我们还可以观察到,罗马尼亚西部的热浪时间明显变长,因此炎热的天数更多。在过去的几十年里,观测到西部夏季无降水的最长时间增加,以及每月温度和降水的异常。本文给出了气候变化土地覆盖指数在分析时段的年值,并观察到这些指数与平均气温之间存在正相关关系。在气候变化的条件下,未来几十年夏季平均降水将减少,这将影响水资源和农业的管理,从而导致对气候变化进行调整的必要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CLIMATE CHANGES IN THE LAST 30 YEARS STUDY CASE: WEST REGION ROMANIA
The climate changes represent an important problem in today-s society. Our study refers to the West Region of Romania, formed by the counties of Arad, Timis, Caras-Severin, Hunedoara, and it shows that there are significant differences regarding the climate changes between these counties. In our paper, we analyze the evolution of annual, respectively seasonal precipitations , and of the minimal, maximal and medium air temperatures in the considered region in the time frame 1991-2021. The statistical analysis of data shows an increase of the medium annual air temperatures, the observed changes being more pronounced in summer and winter. Beside the increase tendency of the air temperature in winter, one could observe also that the time of heat waves has become significantly longer in the West of Romania, such that the number of hot days is larger. An increase of the maximum length of the periods without precipitation has been observed over the last decades in the west during summer, as well as monthly anomalies of temperatures and precipitations. Annual estimates of the Climate Altering Land Cover Index are presented for the analyzed period and we observe that there is a positive correlation between these indices and the mean air temperature. In conditions of the climate changes, the mean summer precipitations will reduce in the coming decades, which will affect the management of water resources and the agriculture, which leads to the necessity of adjustment to the climate changes.
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