考虑台风影响的配电网可靠性评估新方法

Zhang Shengqiang, He Yifeng, Cai Jianlong, Wang Junwu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

为了描述台风与配电网可靠性的关系,提出了一种考虑台风影响的配电网可靠性蒙特卡罗模拟方法。考虑配电网单元极杆强度的随机变量和电线杆的负荷效应特性,提出了基于风速的配电网极杆故障率计算模型。该模型考虑了混合土杆的抗折强度和电杆的负荷效应,计算了不同风速下配电网部件的故障率。由于在不同风速下,配电网的部件故障率不同,配电网的可靠性水平也不同,难以计算。本文采用序贯蒙特卡罗仿真方法计算配电系统的可靠性水平。考虑到配电网的可修复性和故障隔离能力,根据负荷和馈线的特点,提出了馈线和负荷分区的思想。考虑了部件的实时故障率和运行-故障-运行的动态交替特性。该可靠性评估算法为今后配电网的设计提供了有益的指导。最后以IEEE RBTS bus6f4馈线为例,利用Matlab进行计算。结果表明,配电网的可靠性指标与台风风速直接相关,该方法可以提高配电网的可靠性,减少恶劣天气造成的损失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A New Method based on Monte Carlo simulation for Reliability Evaluation of Distribution Network Considering the Influence of Typhoon
A novel reliability evaluation of distribution network considering the influence of typhoon with Monte Carlo simulation is proposed to describe the relationship between typhoon and distribution network reliability. Considering the random variable of the strength of the pole of the distribution network element and the load effect characteristics of electric pole, the calculation model of failure rate of pole in distribution network based on wind speed is proposed. This model calculates the failure rate of distribution network components under different wind speeds, which considers the flexural strength of mixed soil pole and the load effect of electric pole. Due to the different failure rate of components under different wind speeds, the reliability level of distribution network is different and hard to calculate. The reliability level of the distribution system in this paper is calculated by the sequential Monte Carlo simulation method. Considering the reparability and fault isolation capability of distribution network, the idea of feeder and load partition is proposed based on the characteristics of load and feeder. The real time failure rate of the components and the dynamic alternation characteristics of operation-fault-operation are considered. This reliability evaluation algorithm provides useful guidance for the design of power distribution network in the future. Finally, the IEEE RBTS BUS6 F4 feeder is taken as an example to calculate using Matlab. The results show that the reliability index of distribution network is directly related to typhoon wind speed and the method can improve the reliability of the distribution network and reduce the loss caused by bad weather.
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