适应气候变化的河流生态系统可持续管理:AQUADAPT项目

A. Filipe, J. Santos, Paulo Branco, M. T. C. de Melo, Rodrigo Proença de Oliveira, Susana Fernandes, M. H. Alves, Alice Fialho, M. J. Moura, L. Pinto, Noémia P. Santiago, M. T. Ferreira
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摘要

最近的气候情景预测葡萄牙内陆地区将发生巨大变化,到2100年气温可能上升至+5℃,同时伴有降水的大幅减少和极端事件的增加。这种预报意味着在未来几十年里热力和水文模式会发生变化,从而导致干旱和洪水发生的频率、强度和持续时间增加。因此,葡萄牙内陆地区的可持续发展将不可避免地取决于适应这种与气候有关的变化的能力。AQUADAPT项目由La Caixa基金会资助,旨在通过风险评估和构建适应工具,促进河流生态系统对气候变化的适应能力。我们将以淡水鱼为指标,通过建模、预测和规划技术,开发高分辨率监测和预警系统,并在退化的保护区和农业区试验基于自然的解决方案。该项目的创新之处在于采用多学科方法收集调查、规划工具和传播,其相关性在于在国内和国际背景下构建可复制的产品。AQUADAPT项目通过汇集学术合作伙伴(ISA-CEF和IST-CERIS)、公共管理(APA)和公司(EDIA),采用多学科方法收集调查、规划工具和传播。对气候和水文变化、其影响以及促进生态系统抵抗力和复原力的可能自然反应的了解,将有助于在未来几十年为政治家、管理者和其他利益攸关方的知情决策构建情景和替代方案。通过这种方式,AQUADAPT项目将促进向人类和自然更可持续发展的地区的转变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate-Change-Proof Riverine Ecosystems for Sustainable Management: The AQUADAPT Project
: Recent climate scenarios predict dramatic changes for the inland region of Portugal, where the increase in air temperature might reach +5 ◦ C by 2100, accompanied by a strong decrease in precipitation and an increase in extreme events. Such forecasts imply changes in thermal and hydrological patterns in the coming decades, leading to an increase in the frequency, intensity and duration of droughts and floods. Consequently, the sustainable development of Portugal’s inland region will inevitably depend on the ability to adapt to such climate-related changes. The project AQUADAPT, funded by ‘La Caixa’ Foundation, aims to promote the resilience of river ecosystems to climate change, through risk assessment and the construction of adaptation tools. We will develop a high-resolution monitoring and warning system through modelling, forecasting and planning techniques using freshwater fishes as indicators, and test nature-based solutions in degraded areas of protected and agricultural areas. The innovative character of this project lies in the multidisciplinary approach gathering investigation, planning tools and dissemination, and its relevance lies in the construction of replicable products at the national and international context. By bringing together academic partners (ISA-CEF and IST-CERIS), public administration (APA) and companies (EDIA), the project AQUADAPT uses a multidisciplinary-approach gathering investigation, planning tools and dissemination. The gained knowledge of climate and hydrological changes, their impacts and possible natural responses to promote resistance and resilience of ecosystems will allow the construction of scenarios and alternatives for informed decision making by politicians, managers and other stakeholders for the coming decades. This way, the project AQUADAPT will nurture the transformation towards a more sustainable region for people and nature.
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