确定影响伊朗马什哈德学校备灾的因素并确定其优先次序

Fatemeh Nejad Shokouhi, Zahra Naji-Azimi, Fatemeh Jame Kordkandi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

简介:伊朗一直是自然灾害频发的国家,如飓风和地震,随之而来的是严重的经济和人身伤害。在这方面,至关重要的是在伊朗的学校进行灾害管理,以保护在学校学习的大量年轻人。因此,学校校长必须不断做好防灾准备,制定灾害管理计划。方法:运用模糊层次分析法(FAHP)对影响学校自然灾害防范的因素进行识别和排序。此外,本研究的另一个目的是利用理想解决方案相似性排序偏好模糊技术(FTOPSIS)对马什哈德第6区的小学进行备灾排序。在本研究中,首先采用德尔菲法,根据专家意见,得出了灾害防范的准则和子准则。然后,使用FAHP方法对收集的标准和子标准进行排序。本研究的统计人口由专家组成,包括所研究学校(马什哈德第6区的学校)的校长和专家,他们熟悉灾害管理问题。采用目的抽样法,共选取10名专家作为样本。结果:根据结果,学校中最重要的备灾因素依次是建筑改造、遵守基本标准和组建委员会。结论:最后,利用所得模型和FTOPSIS对马什哈德第6区小学的备灾程度进行了排名。这个排名可以帮助管理者做出决策,优先进行研究区域内学校的建筑改造。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identification and Prioritization of the Factors Affecting the Disaster Preparedness of Schools in Mashhad, Iran
INTRODUCTION: Iran has always been prone to natural disasters, such as hurricanes and earthquakes, which are followed by heavy financial and bodily harms. In this regard, it is crucial to have disaster management in the schools of Iran to protect the significant number of young people studying in schools. Therefore, school principals must be constantly prepared for disasters and develop disaster management plans. METHODS: The present study aimed to identify and prioritize the factors that affect the natural disaster preparedness of schools using the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) method. Moreover, another objective of this research was to rank the elementary schools in District 6 of Mashhad regarding their disaster preparedness with the fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (FTOPSIS). In this research, first, the criteria and sub-criteria for disaster preparedness were obtained using the Delphi method and according to the opinions of experts. Afterward, the collected criteria and sub-criteria were ranked using the FAHP method. The statistical population of this research consisted of experts, including principals and experts in the studied schools (schools in District 6 of Mashhad) who were familiar with disaster management issues. In total, 10 experts were selected as the sample using the purposive sampling method. FINDINGS: Based on the results, the most important disaster preparedness factors in schools were building retrofit, adherence to basic standards, and committee formation, in that order. CONCLUSION: Finally, the elementary schools of District 6 of Mashhad were ranked in terms of disaster preparedness using the obtained model and the FTOPSIS. This ranking can help the managers in making decisions to prioritize the conduction of building retrofit of the schools in the studied area.
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