节能领域的目标及其实施问题:降低GDP的能源强度

M. G. Prokopyev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考虑了提高经济的能源效率,特别是降低GDP的能源强度的问题。分析了决定国内生产总值能源强度动态的基本因素。根据国内生产总值和国内一次能源消费水平,提出了国内生产总值能源强度变化的可能情景。考虑实现既定目标的问题。研究表明,由于特定经济政策工具的具体影响,在宣布的(指定的)条件下无法达到GDP的能源强度目标(期望的)水平是许多因素的结果。得出的结论是,设定的节能目标没有在计划的时间框架内实现,并且在当前的经济发展趋势下(即使考虑到中期的修订)实现这些目标的可能性也不明显。为了降低GDP的能源强度,在实践中有必要实施脱钩战略:确保经济增长而不增加资源的使用,因为它们更合理地利用和应用了现有的最佳技术。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Targets and the problem of their implementation in the field of energy saving: reducing the energy intensity of GDP
The article considers the problem of increasing the energy efficiency of the economy, in particular, reducing the energy intensity of GDP. The basic factors determining the dynamics of energy intensity of GDP are analyzed. Possible scenarios of changes in the energy intensity of GDP depending on the level of GDP and domestic primary energy consumption are presented. The problem of achieving the set goals is considered. It is shown that the unattainability of the target (desired) level of energy intensity of GDP in the declared (designated) terms with the specific impact of instruments of a particular economic policy is the result of many factors. It is concluded that the set goals in energy saving were not achieved in the planned time frame, and the possibility of their implementation in the current trends of economic development (even taking into account their revision in the medium term) is not obvious. To reduce the energy intensity of GDP, it is necessary in practice to implement a decoupling strategy: to ensure economic growth without an increase in the use of resources due to their more rational use and application of the best available technologies.
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