印度尼西亚外国旅游需求的决定因素:重力模型方法

D. Wardani, Nufimbar Susy Anindita Handayani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在分析外国游客访问印度尼西亚需求的决定因素。作为潜在的外汇来源之一,旅游业在印度尼西亚成为促进印度尼西亚经济增长的必要条件。国内游客数量的减少并不像外国游客那么重要,因为这是一个潜在的外汇来源。利用2009-2016年8个国家的面板数据,估算了国外旅游成本的重力模型。数据来自印度尼西亚统计局(BPS)和世界银行数据。结果表明,国内外人均GDP和人口都是增加外国游客需求的重要因素。减少来印尼旅游的外国游客数量的一个重要因素是外国人来自原籍国的距离。此外,印尼(国内)汇率对美元的升值也减少了国外旅游需求。本研究表明,印尼的政策应该为游客提供航空公司通道的保障,以吸引更多的游客。因此,越来越多的外国人访问印度尼西亚将导致创造就业机会和增加国内生产总值的份额,最终加强印尼经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Determinants of Foreign Tourism Demand to Indonesia: Gravity Model Approach
: This study aims to analyse determinants of foreign tourists demand to visit Indonesia. As one of potential sources of foreign exchange, tourism sector in Indonesia become necessary to foster the Indonesian’s economic growth. Declining in number of local tourist is not as matter as foreign tourist since it has a potential source of foreign exchange. Gravity model of travel cost for foreign tourism is estimated using panel data consisting of eight countries during 2009-2016. Data are obtained from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the World Bank data. The results show that, GDP per capita of both domestic and foreigners also population are significant factors that increase foreign tourists demand. One of a significant factor that lower the number of foreign tourist visiting Indonesia is the distance from the origin country foreigner travelled from. In addition, the appreciation of Indonesia (domestic) exchange rate against $US also decrease foreign tourism demand. This research suggests that, Indonesian policy should provide a guarantee of airline access for tourists in order to attract more visitors. Thus, the increasing in such foreigners to visit Indonesia will lead to expanding in job creation and the increasing share of GDP which finally strengthen the Indonesian economy.
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