基于CGE模型的山东省风电价格补贴政策研究

Yangxiao Wang, Qiufang Fan, Ying Ma, Jie Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,随着风力发电技术的提高和产业升级,中国风力发电制造和应用规模位居世界前列。这些相关领域的技术进步降低了成本,使可再生能源成为能源转型的一个重要领域。目前,可再生能源主要包括风能、太阳能和生物质能。其中,风能具有来源广、成本低、能源捕获与转换技术和设备先进等优点,使其在许多地方得到了大规模的应用。相比之下,由于材料回收难度大、成本高,生物质能的大规模应用受到限制。同时,太阳能电池板生产具有高污染、高能耗的特点,不环保,限制了其产业扩张。因此,本研究将重点研究山东省风电价格相关政策。本文首先根据山东省可再生能源政策的发展现状,建立了可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型。然后,通过模拟风电电价补贴较基准年分别上涨5%、10%、15%、20%、25%、30%,进一步分析电价补贴对能源、经济、社会和环境的影响。最后提出建议,为山东省风能的推广和发展提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the Subsidy Policy of Wind Energy Price in Shandong Province Based on CGE Model
In recent years, with the improvement of wind power generation technology and industrial upgrading, China's wind power generation manufacturing and application scale ranks among the top in the world. Technological advances in these related fields have reduced costs, making renewable energy an important area of the energy transition. At present, renewable energy mainly includes wind, solar and biomass energy. Among them, wind energy has the advantages of wide sources, low cost, advanced energy capture and conversion technology and equipment, which make it has been applied in many places on a large scale. By contrast, due to the difficulty of material recovery and high cost, the large-scale application of biomass energy is limited. Meanwhile, the production of solar panels is characterized by high pollution and high energy consumption, which is not environmentally friendly and limits its industrial expansion. Therefore, this research will focus on wind power price related policies in Shandong Province. In this paper, a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of renewable energy policy according to the current development in Shandong Province was first built. Then, by simulating the increase of wind energy electricity price subsidies by 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, 30% compared with the base year, the effects of electricity price subsidies on energy, economics, social and environment were further analyzed. Finally, suggestions were proposed which can provide a reference for the promotion and development of wind energy in Shandong Province.
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