人口、失业和通货膨胀对贾比省经济增长的影响

Putri Putri, Fanny Nailufar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了人口红利、失业和通货膨胀对占碑省经济增长的影响。本研究使用了占碑省中央统计局2000-2021年的二手数据。采用矢量误差校正法(VECM)对数据进行分析。本研究采用平稳性检验、滞后长度标准检验、VAR稳定性检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和VECM估计。结果表明,在短期内,人口红利(TPAK)和失业率对占碑省经济增长的影响为负且不显著,而通货膨胀对经济增长的影响为正且不显著。从长期来看,人口红利对占碑省经济增长的影响为正且显著,而失业对占碑省经济增长的影响为负且不显著,通货膨胀对占碑省经济增长的影响为负且显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PENGARUH BONUS DEMOGRAFI, PENGANGGURAN DAN INFLASI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI PROVINSI JAMBI
This study examined the effect of demographic bonuses, unemployment, and inflation on economic growth in Jambi Province. This study used secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics of Jambi Province during 2000-2021. The data were analyzed using the Vector Error Correction Method (VECM). All tests used in this study were Stationarity Test, Lag Length Criteria Test, VAR Stability Test, Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test, and VECM Estimation. The results showed that in the short term, the demographic bonus (TPAK) and unemployment had a negative and insignificant effect, while inflation had a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth in Jambi Province. In the long term, Demographic Bonus had a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Jambi Province, while unemployment had a negative and insignificant effect, and inflation had a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Jambi Province.
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