基于人的可靠性分析方法的飞机事故分析实例

Nobuo Mitomo, A. Hashimoto, Kensuke Homma
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引用次数: 3

摘要

概率风险评估(PRA)已被用于核电厂的安全评估。在典型的pra中,在开发故障树和某些特殊情况下的事件树时考虑了人为错误。它们已被确定为许多pra中植物风险的重要贡献者。然而,对于人为失误概率(HEP)的量化,目前还没有公认的HRA (human reliability analysis)方法。因此,本文以某飞机事故为例,介绍了利用HRA方法(THERP)进行事故分析的方法。这次飞机事故实际上发生在日本。此外,还进行了重要性测量来评估事故的原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An example of an accident analysis of aircrafts based on human reliability Analysis Method
Probabilistic Risk Assessment, PRA has been utilized for the safety of Nuclear Power Plants. In typical PRAs, the human error are considered in the development of fault trees as well as event trees for some special cases. They have been identified as important contributors to plant risk in many PRAs. Nevertheless, there are no HRA (human reliability ana1ysis) method universally accepted for quantifying the human error probability (HEP). So, in this paper, an example of the analysis of an aircraft accident was shown by using HRA method, THERP. This aircraft accident was actually occurred in Japan. Also, Importance Measure was performed to assess causes of this accident.
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