中小上市公司财务困境预测模型

Hao Yuzhu, Liu Zengxin, Hu Zaiqiang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

当上市公司受到特殊待遇时,ST公司将面临巨大的压力。因此,欧盟委员会将采取行动。首先,监督ST公司改善经营和生产条件。然后,它将清理不良资产。最后,它将投入到良好的资产。所有这些行动之后,ST公司将恢复正常的上市公司。本文运用财务困境预测模型对财务报表及相关管理数据进行分析。通过分析,我们可以告诉经营者和其他关联方公司将面临的预亏损风险。本文以a股上市中小银行为样本,构建财务困境预测模型。首先,我们将使用主因子分析来提取能够反映财务信息的共同因素。然后,我们将使用决策树分析找出可以使增益比最大的共同因素。从而为银行提供全面的财务风险控制指标,找出金融危机发生的原因。因此,这些公司可以及早开展工作,避免业务损失,并获得ST治疗。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Distress Prediction Model of Small and Medium-sized Listed Companies
When the listed company was treated specially, the ST Company will be under tremendous pressure. So the Commission will take action. Firstly, it will monitor the ST Company to improve the operation and production conditions. Then, it will clean up bad assets. At last, it will put into good assets. After all these actions, the ST Company will restore normal listed company. In this paper, we use financial distress prediction model to analysis financial statements and related management data. After analysis, we can tell business operators and other related party the Pre-losing hazard which the company will confront. We use A-share listed small and medium-banks as samples to construct financial distress prediction model. Fist, we will use principal factor analysis to extract common factors which can reflect financial information. Then, we will use the decision tree analysis to find out the common factors which can give maximum gain ratio. So we can provide the banks with comprehensive financial risk control indicators and we can find out the reasons for financial crisis. So these companies can do early job to avoid business losses and get ST treatment.
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