价值投资在中国a股市场的适用性研究

Luo Dan
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摘要

价值投资在发达国家资本市场得到了广泛的推崇和应用,其有效性也在大量实践中得到了验证。然而,自20世纪90年代引入中国以来,由于缺乏监管和投资观念的落后,价值投资的概念长期被埋没。随着近年来市场环境的改善、监管制度的进步以及投资者观念的更新,中国a股市场是否具备价值投资的条件?本文将从理论和实证两方面对这一问题进行探讨。本文首先梳理了价值投资理论的发展,阐述了价值投资的观点和主张。其次,在价值投资理论的指导下,本文选取CASMR数据库2018-2021年的数据。在第一阶段,利用多因素模型选择五个行业作为价值投资的低增长和高增长轨道。第二阶段采用EVA分析方法,选取各行业的5只龙头股进行实证检验,并结合各阶段的基本面分析。结果表明:在价值投资理念下筛选出来的高成长行业中,顶级企业的平均年收益率在50%以上,高成长行业的平均年收益率在30%以上;本文验证了价值投资不仅适合中国a股市场,而且是一种低风险、高回报的优秀投资理念,并提出了相关的投资建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the Applicability of Value Investment in China’s A-Share Market
Value investment has been widely respected and applied in the capital market of developed countries, and its effectiveness has also been verified in a large number of practices. However, since it was introduced to China in 1990s, the concept of value investment has been buried for a long time due to the lack of supervision and the backwardness of investment concepts. With the improvement of the market environment, the progress of supervision system and the update of investors’ ideas in recent years, does China’s A-share market have the conditions for value investment? This paper will discuss this problem theoretically and empirically. Firstly, this paper combs the development of value investment theory and expounds the views and propositions of value investment. Secondly, under the guidance of value investment theory, this paper selects the data of CASMR database 2018-2021. In the first stage, five sectors are selected as the low growth and high growth track of value investment by using multi-factor model. In the second stage, using EVA analysis, five leading stocks in each industry are selected for empirical test, combined with the fundamental analysis in each stage. The results show that the average annual rate of return of the top enterprises is over 50% and the average annual rate of return is over 30% in the high-growth industries screened out under the concept of value investment; This paper verifies that value investment is not only suitable for China A-share market, but also an excellent investment idea with low risk and high return, and puts forward some relevant investment suggestions.
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