伊朗的世界观:伊斯兰共和国的战略文化

A. Parchami
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:本文强调了伊朗伊斯兰共和国的战略文化与行为之间的联系,认为伊朗的神职领导层在其取向上是意识形态的,但一直表现出战术理智和实用主义。在国内,它奉行与霍梅尼主义一致的伊斯兰化。就地区而言,它所创造的条件可能会迫使美国及其欧洲盟友撤出中东,并迫使当地政府寻求和解。它的地区分支机构和代理人网络主要是维护政权的威慑工具。然而,德黑兰倾向于投机主义地促进地区不稳定,并武装下层国家行为体,在旷日持久的冲突中诱捕对手。它的干涉主义倾向也源于国内的紧急情况。矛盾的是,该政权通过在国内变得更加咄咄逼人,在国外变得更加冒险,来弥补其日益削弱的合法性。然而,越来越多的迹象表明,这个伊斯兰共和国的战略文化可能是其毁灭的原因。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Iranian Worldview: The Strategic Culture of the Islamic Republic
Abstract:Highlighting the nexus between the Islamic Republic's strategic culture and behavior, this article argues that Iran's clerical leadership is ideological in its orientation but has always demonstrated tactical nous and pragmatism. Domestically, it pursues Islamification in conformity with Khomeinism. Regionally, it fosters conditions that might force the United States and its European allies out of the Middle East and oblige local governments to seek accommodation. Its network of regional affiliates and proxies are primarily tools of deterrence to safeguard the regime. Nevertheless, Tehran has a penchant for opportunistically promoting regional instability and arming substate actors to ensnare adversaries in protracted conflicts. Its interventionist proclivities are also borne out of domestic exigencies. Paradoxically, the regime compensates for its diminishing legitimacy by becoming even more aggressive at home and adventurous abroad. There are growing signs, however, that the Islamic Republic's strategic culture may be its undoing.
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