新疆农用地转用及其对水稻生产的影响

Al Alamsyar, M. B. Cyio, L. Damayanti
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在评估四四区农地转换率,分析农地转换率的影响因素,并分析农地转换率对稻米生产的影响。使用的数据分析是转化率分析、逻辑回归分析和影响产生分析。结果表明,2009年至2016年,锡吉地区发生的水田转化率约为2075%,即4499公顷。平均每年折旧率为2.96%,相当于64557公顷。根据7个自变量的logistic回归分析结果,只有3个变量对发生的土地非农化有显著影响。影响变量为土地面积、卖地价格和家庭受供养人数。<α(10%)。对土地非农化没有影响的变量是停留时间、耕作时间、产量和稻谷销售价格。根据生产影响分析结果,得出每年损失干粮生产能力39,719.81吨,约4,467.97吨。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CONVERSION OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND ITS IMPACT ON RICE PRODUCTION IN SIGI REGENCY
This research aims to assess the rate of agricultural land conversion, analyze factors affectagricultural land conversion, and analyze the impact of land conversion on rice production in Sigi District. Data analysis used is analysis of conversion rate, logistic regression analysis, and analysis of impact production. Result obtained Conversion of paddy field that happened in Sigi District from year 2009 until year 2016 which is about 20,75% or 4,499 Ha. with average value of depreciation every year equal to 2,96% or equal to 645,57 Ha.Based on the results of logistic regression analysis obtained from 7 independent variables, only 3 variables that significantly affect the land conversion that occurred. The influential variables are land area, land selling price, and number of family dependents with Prob value. <α (10%). Variables that have no effect on land conversion are length of stay, duration of farming, yield, and selling price of paddy. Based on the results of production impact analysis, obtained the lost production capacity of 39,719.81 tons of dry milled grain or about 4,467.97 tons of dry milled grain per year.
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