尼日利亚阿南布拉州摩托车事故的时空格局

Peter P. Umeh, V. Ojeh, Lucky Arisabor, C. Ikporukpo
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摘要

本研究以尼日利亚阿南布拉州摩托车事故时空格局为研究对象。该研究主要使用二手数据,即从阿南布拉州联邦道路安全委员会Awka获得的事故记录(RS 5.30)。摩托车事故的数据是在十(10)年(2007-2016)期间获得的。采用方差分析(ANOVA)技术检验国家地方政府区域间差异的统计显著性。结果表明:全国各地方政府辖区摩托车事故数量存在显著差异(F29, 189 = 2.609;p < 0.05)。在检查阿南布拉州摩托车事故随时间(2007-2016)变化的统计显著性时,再次采用方差分析。结果表明:2007-2016年摩托车事故数量存在显著性差异(F9, 200= 13.210;p < 0.05)。多元回归分析被用于检查国家地方政府区域的一些特征。我们观察到,结合该州LGA的一些特征对摩托车事故有联合预测(p<0.05),结果表明该州地方政府区域的其他特征对2011年摩托车事故发生数量影响不大。需要重新定位研究地区的土地使用模式,改善道路网络特征,政府应该在公路上设立更多的警察巡逻,以执行包括速度限制在内的道路交通规则,以及需要建立联邦道路安全队档案,以便保存,整理和处理事故记录。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatio-Temporal Pattern of Motorcycle Accidents in Anambra State, Nigeria
This research work focuses on spatio-temporal pattern of motorcycle accidents in Anambra state, Nigeria. The study used mostly secondary data, accident records which were obtained from Federal Road Safety Commission Awka, Anambra state (RS 5.30). The data on motorcycle accidents were obtained for a period of ten (10) years (2007-2016). Analysis of variance (ANOVA) technique was employed in the examination of the statistical significance of the variation among the local government areas of the state. The result indicates that there is a significant variation in the number of motorcycle accidents among the local government areas of the state (F29, 189 = 2.609; p<0.05). Again analysis of variance was employed in the examination of the statistical significance of the variation of motorcycle accidents over time (2007-2016) in Anambra state. The result indicates that there is a significant difference in the number of motorcycle accidents from 2007-2016 (F9, 200= 13.210; p<0.05). Multiple regression analysis was employed in the examination of some of the characteristics of the local government areas of the state. It was observed that, there is a joint prediction of motorcycle accidents by a combination of some of the characteristics of the LGA of the state (p<0.05), the result implies that other characteristics of the Local Government areas of the state played little influence on the number of motorcycle accidents that occurred in 2011. The need for re-orientation of the land use pattern in the study area, better road network characteristics, Government should set up more police patrols for the highways in order to enforce road traffic regulation including speed limits and the need to establish Federal Road Safety Corps  archive where accident records will be kept, collated and processed are desirable.
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