决策有效性随时间的评估

V. Nagy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这篇论文中,我的研究结果是提出的,这是在一个大样本上进行的,以调查人们如何回顾他们以前的商业决策。在简短的文献综述之后,考虑到时间的作用,本文处理了主要的研究:人们如何在短期和长期内判断他们的决定,也就是说,他们有多自信,正确的选择是应用与他们的情况相关的事实和条件的可用知识。使用统计方法,进行比较,例如,基于受访者的性别,所以结果是性别对自信或对判断的准确性有影响。职位,也就是等级重要吗?是否可以假设,一个人在公司的阶梯上爬得越高,他们的决策就越确定?那教育水平呢?它会影响决策的判断吗?那些在一段时间后,也就是说,在做出最初的决定之后,在拥有后来可用的信息的情况下,不后悔自己的决定的人,可以在商业上更成功,因为他们做出了最好的决定。试图识别这些特征或因素在商业生活中可能是一个优势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of Decision Effectiveness Over Time
Abstract In this paper, the results of my research are presented that was carried out on a large sample to investigate how people look back at their previous business decisions. After a short literature overview, considering the role of time, the paper deals with the primary research: how people judge their decisions in the short term and in the long run, that is, how confident they are that the right one was chosen applying the available knowledge of facts and conditions connected with or relevant to their situation. Using statistical methods, comparisons were made, for example, based on the respondents’ gender, so it turns out whether gender has an influence on self-confidence or on exactness of judgement. Does the position, that is, the rank matter? Can it be assumed that the farther one gets up the corporate ladder, the more certainty can be observed about their decisions? And what about educational level? Does it influence judgement in a decision? Those who do not regret their decisions after a while, that is, after the original decisions were made, while being in possession of the information available later, can be more successful in business because they made the best decision. Trying to identify such characteristics or factors can be an advantage in the business life.
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