智利资本账户政策:自由化道路上的宏观金融考量

Yan Carrière-Swallow, Pablo Garcia-Silva
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引用次数: 34

摘要

本文回顾了智利自上世纪90年代以来的资本账户政策经验。我们将介绍在非常不同的宏观经济和资本账户框架下如何面对两种外部冲击。我们表明,在1997-98年亚洲-长期资本主义-俄罗斯危机期间,封闭的资本账户和相对刚性的汇率严重限制了货币政策对冲击的反应,加剧了国内需求的下降。在2008-09年危机期间,成熟的通胀目标制框架使当局得以实施重大的反周期对策。我们认为,自1999年以来,政策体制转向资本账户自由化的背后是对国内稳定的考虑。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital Account Policies in Chile Macro-Financial Considerations Along the Path to Liberalization
This paper recounts Chile’s experience with capital account policies since the 1990s. We present how two external shocks were confronted under very different macroeconomic and capital account frameworks. We show that during the 1997-98 Asian-LTCM-Russia crisis, a closed capital account and relatively rigid exchange rate severely constrained the monetary policy response to the shock, aggravating the fall in domestic demand. During the 2008-09 crisis, a full-fledged inflation targeting framework allowed the authorities to implement a significant countercyclical response. We argue that domestic stability considerations lay behind the policy regime switch toward capital account liberalization from 1999 onwards.
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