21世纪初俄朝同盟的恢复:俄罗斯的同盟战略与成就

Dayea Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:本文拟按照车维德在《强权游戏》一书中提出的总体轮廓,从俄罗斯同盟行为的角度来探讨俄罗斯的对朝战略。本研究的主要论点是,自2000年以来,俄罗斯重建了与朝鲜的战略联盟,以限制冒险主义的单边行为,这些行为可能会将俄罗斯拖入不想要的军事突发事件和边境地区的危机。自朝鲜发生第一次核危机以来,朝鲜的核野心和冒险倾向增加了俄罗斯对陷入困境的恐惧。在这种担忧日益加剧的情况下,作为先发制人的措施,俄罗斯唯一的选择是运用依附战略,对北韩进行直接约束。这一计划的理由是,避免边境地区的任何危机是新成立的俄罗斯联邦的首要外交目标。这一论点强调了结盟的制度方面,并提出了俄罗斯-朝鲜结盟的基本目的和功能,该联盟仍在运作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Restoration of the Russia-North Korea Alignment in the Early 2000s: Russia’s Alliance Strategies and Achievements
Abstract:This article intends to focus on Russia’s strategies toward North Korea from the perspective of its alliance behavior following the general contour presented by Victor D. Cha in his work entitled Powerplay. The main argument of this study is that Russia has rebuilt its strategic alignment with North Korea since 2000 to constrain the undertaking of adventuristic unilateral behavior that may drag Russia into an unwanted military contingency and crisis in its border region. Since the first nuclear crisis in North Korea, its nuclear ambitions and propensity to venture has increased Russia’s fear of entrapment. With the increasing intensity of such a fear, the only option for Russia is to apply the adhesion strategy to exert a direct restraint on North Korea as a preemptive measure. The rationale for this scheme is that avoiding any crisis in the border area is an overriding diplomatic goal in the newly established Russian Federation. This argument highlights institutional aspects of alignment and suggests fundamental purposes and functions of the Russia-North Korea alignment, which remains operational.
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