女子曲棍球比赛结果的预测模型

M. S. Brown
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究提出一个预测模型,以确定女子(女)曲棍球比赛的比赛结果。这对教练来说很重要,不管他们的球队看起来是赢了还是输了。教练在整个比赛过程中都是基于他们输赢的信念来做出决定的。该模型是一个逻辑回归模型,可以使用游戏中很少的数据:剩余时间和分数之间的差异。这对教练来说可能是一个有价值的工具,可以在比赛中使用。准确率超过89%。本研究中使用的数据来自十大女子曲棍球队之间的直接对抗赛。给出了包括系数在内的获胜概率方程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predictive Models for Game Outcomes in Women's Lacrosse
This research presents a predictive model for determining the game outcome of a Women’s (Female) Lacrosse game. This is important to coaches regardless of if their team appears to be winning or losing the game. Coaches make decisions throughout the game based upon the belief that they are winning or losing. The model is a Logistic Regression model and can be used with very little data from a game: time remaining and difference between the scores. This could be a valuable tool to coaches that can be used during the game. It is more than 89% accurate. Data used in this research comes from direct matchup games between BigTen Women’s Lacrosse teams. The win probability equations, including coefficients, are presented.
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