波罗的海国家衰退后股市表现的比较分析

I. Pilvere, Aija Pilvere-Javorska, B. Rivza
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引用次数: 1

摘要

股票市场是企业融资的替代场所,也是经济发展的重要来源。波罗的海国家是一个市场,传统上被认为是一个市场,但它由三个独立的股票市场组成。研究目的是对波罗的海国家经济衰退后的股票市场发展表现进行比较分析。为了进行分析,分析了波罗的海国家上市公司的数量、市值和结构,并与2008-2018年6个月的主要经济指标结构进行了比较。主要的研究方法有:分析法、综合法、逻辑建构法、归纳法和演绎法以及时间序列分析法。本文确定了波罗的海地区股市主要表现指标,并将其指标结构与波罗的海地区经济结构进行了比较。研究结果表明,仅爱沙尼亚的上市公司数量有所增加,其市值在分析期内增长了一倍以上。在立陶宛,公司数量有所下降,而市场资本化的增长较爱沙尼亚缓慢,但更为线性。反过来,拉脱维亚的股票市值和上市公司数量在2008-2018年的6个月里都在下降。波罗的海国家上市公司的总数在减少,而它们的市值在增加,但仍然只有2007年经济衰退前价值的60%。与拉脱维亚相比,爱沙尼亚和立陶宛上市公司的平均规模更大。爱沙尼亚和立陶宛的股票市场平均上市公司规模增加了一倍以上,而拉脱维亚的增长微不足道。2008年,股票市场指标结构与主要经济指标结构的偏差不显著,而在2018年的6个月里,拉脱维亚股票市场参数的动态在波罗的海三国的结构中都有所下降。总体而言,与爱沙尼亚和立陶宛的股票市场相比,拉脱维亚的股票市场落后于爱沙尼亚和立陶宛,因此,所有三个波罗的海国家在经济衰退后的复苏和发展速度都不对称。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF POST-RECESSION STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE IN THE BALTIC STATES
Stock market is alternative place to bank lending for company’s finance and contributor to economic development. Baltic States is market, which traditionally is perceived as one, however it is comprised of 3 separate stock markets. Research aim was to conduct comparative analysis of stock market development performance post-recession in the Baltic States.. In order to perform analysis, number of listed companies, their market capitalization and structure in Baltic States were analyzed and also compared to main economic indicators structure in 2008-2018 6 months. The main research methods are: analysis, synthesis, the logical construction method, the induction and deduction methods, as well as time series analysis. Authors have determined main stock market performance indicators and compared stock market indicators structure with Baltic region’s economic structure. Research results indicates that number of listed companies had increased only in Estonia, also market capitalization there had experienced their value to more than double in analyzed period. In Lithuania number of companies had declined, while market capitalization the growth was slower when compared to in Estonia, while more linear. In turn, stock market capitalization and number of listed companies in Latvia were declining in 2008-2018 6 months. Overall number of listed companies in Baltic States was decreasing, while their market capitalization is increasing, but still is only 60% of value it was in pre-recession year 2007. In Estonia and in Lithuania average listed companies are larger in size, when compared to in Latvia. Size of average listed companies on stock market in Estonia and in Lithuania more than doubled in size, while in Latvia it showed insignificant growth. Stock market indicators’ structure had insignificant deviations from the main economic indicator structure in 2008, while in 6 months 2018 dynamics in Latvia stock market parameters had dropped in the structure among all 3 Baltic States. Overall, in Latvia stock market is lagging behind, when compared to one in Estonia and in Lithuania in analyzed period, thus all 3 Baltic States has had asymmetrical recovery and development speed post-recession.
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