民主建设框架下的金融-增长关系:来自埃及的经验证据

Ramy H. Elazhary
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了机构质量对埃及金融发展与经济增长关系的影响。然而,文学集中探讨了这种关系的形态;支持者忽略了关键的关系有效性决定因素。因此,由于忽视了影响金融-增长关系性质的结构性方面,预计会产生误导和有偏见的估计结果。因此,考虑财政与增长关系的民主建设是至关重要的。其中,一种特定的阈值回归方法被应用于确定制度质量的阈值水平,在该阈值水平上金融发展对经济增长产生积极影响。计量经济学分析旨在验证阈值效应的稳健性和措施的强度。此外,采用了密集措施,其中(i)控制变量使用影响金融-增长关系的变量表示。采用另一种备选的阈值方法,找出与体制环境质量有关的金融发展的边际影响。采用不同的阈值回归方法显示了民主建设阈值对埃及金融发展与经济增长关系的重要性;这使得政策制定者在努力通过金融发展刺激经济增长的同时,优先支持民主建设的努力,并对金融发展与经济增长之间关系的本质提供了更深入的认识
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Finance-Growth Nexus in the Framework of Democratic Construction: Empirical Evidence from Egypt
: This study examines the effect of institutions’ quality on Egypt’s relationship between financial development and economic growth. However, literature intensively explores the relationship’s shape; the proponents overlook the crucial relationship validity determinants. Thus, misleading and biased estimates results are expected due to neglecting structural aspects affecting the nature of the finance-growth nexus. Therefore, considering democratic construction to the finance-growth nexus is crucial. Among others, a specific threshold regression approach has been applied to determine institutional quality's threshold level at which financial development positively impacts economic growth. The econometric analysis aimed to verify the robustness of the threshold effect and the strength of the measures. Moreover, intensive measures are applied, whereby (i) the control variables are expressed using variables that influence the finance-growth nexus. (ii) Another alternative threshold approach is applied by finding the marginal impact of financial development associated with the quality of the institutional environment. Using different threshold regression approaches shows the importance of the democratic construction threshold on the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Egypt; this gives policymakers priority to support the endeavors of democratic construction in light of their efforts to stimulate economic growth through financial development and provides a deeper insight into the nature of the relationship between financial development and economic growth
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