全球经济对印尼宏观经济状况的影响

R. Nurhidajat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是通过季度数据分析以美国经济为代表的全球经济与印尼经济之间的关系。在本文中,国内变量为国内生产总值(GDP)、利率、综合物价指数和汇率。同时,使用的全球变量是国内生产总值(GDP)、利率和综合物价指数。采用结构VAR对这些关系进行检验。季度数据是在1999年到2008年之间。本研究的结果是印度尼西亚作为一个小型的开放经济体受到全球经济的影响。印尼政府应该更加重视美国GDP作为国际变量中最具影响力的变量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
DAMPAK PEREKONOMIAN GLOBAL TERHADAP KONDISI MAKROEKONOMI INDONESIA
The purpose of this paper is to provide an analysis of relationship between global economy represented by US economy and Indonesia's economy by quarterly data. In this paper, domestic variables are Gross Domestic product (GDP), intersest rate, composite price index and exchange rate. Meanwhile, The global variables used are Gross Domestic product (GDP), intersest rate, and composite price index. Struktural VAR is employed to test these relationship. The quarterly data are between 1999 through 2008. The result of this reseach is Indonesia as a small open economy is influenced by global economy. The Government of Indonesia should give more attention to US GDP as the most influent variable of international variables.
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