实施与欧盟自贸区面临的挑战

T. Zubko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是确定DCFTA + EU对国内经济部门的影响因素。本研究的方法论基础是理论概括、定量分析、比较、系统化相结合,以确定深化与欧盟一体化对乌克兰发展的机遇和挑战。文章分析了自贸区实施的四年(2017年至2020年),指出了实施的主要经济和社会领域的前景和不足。分析了格鲁吉亚、摩尔多瓦和乌克兰经济的主要特征,确定了这些国家对外贸易的主要趋势。研究结果表明,考虑到外部事件和国家内部状况(工业和科学的衰落、流行病、战争),自贸区+对所分析的经济部门的影响是模糊的。在俄罗斯和白俄罗斯侵略乌克兰之后,乌克兰供出口的粮食数量正在减少,后勤方面出现了困难,鉴于世界市场上的粮食价格迅速上涨,对农业的任何投资现在和将来都将产生切实的结果。然而,乌克兰引入DCFTA所带来的改革的好处应该在很大程度上不是现在,而是从长远来看。值得注意的是,与欧盟国家的一些贸易壁垒是由对商品的高标准造成的。需要提高营销、广告、立法和外交的使用,乌克兰的国际威望是确定的。对各经济部门实施自贸区的主要优势和挑战的概括,使我们能够确定这些因素影响的时间限制,并使我们能够确定乌克兰社会经济领域变化的主要方向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CHALLENGES TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE DCFTA WITH THE EU
The purpose of this article is to determine the factors influencing the DCFTA + EU on sectors of the domestic economy. The methodological basis of the study is a combination of theoretical generalization, quantitative analysis, comparison, systematization, to identify opportunities and challenges of deepening integration with the EU for the development of Ukraine. The article analyzes the four-year period (from 2017 to 2020) of the implementation of the DCFTA and identifies prospects and shortcomings in the main economic and social spheres of implementation. The key characteristics of the economies of Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine are analyzed and the main trends of foreign trade of these countries are identified. The results of the study indicate the ambiguous impact of the DCFTA + on the analyzed sectors of the economy, taking into account external events and the internal state of the country (decline of industry and science, pandemic, war). After the aggression of Russia and Belarus against Ukraine, the amount of Ukrainian grain for export is declining, logistical difficulties have arisen and, given the rapid rise in grain prices on the world market, any investment in agriculture will yield tangible results both now and in the future. However, the benefits of reforms in Ukraine with the introduction of the DCFTA should largely be expected not now, but in the long run. It is noted that some barriers to trade with EU countries are caused by high standards for goods. The need to improve marketing, advertising, legislation and use of diplomats, the international prestige of Ukraine is determined. The generalization of the main advantages and challenges of the implementation of the DCFTA for the sectors of the economy allowed to determine the time limits of the impact of these factors, and allows to identify the main directions of change in the socio-economic space of Ukraine.
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