结构行为经济学

Stefano DellaVigna
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引用次数: 92

摘要

结构估计在行为经济学中的作用是什么?我讨论了结构行为经济学工作的优点和局限性。我还介绍了常见的建模选择以及如何开始。在优点中,我认为结构估计建立并扩展了一个经典的行为工具,简单的校准,并且它受益于一些可以用于数据的简约行为模型的存在。估计也非常适合实验工作,这在行为经济学中很常见,因为它可以导致实验设计的改进。此外,在行为工作的政策含义被越来越多地讨论的时候,将这些政策含义置于(估计的)模型中是很重要的。然而,结构工作有重要的局限性,这与它的行为应用有关。评估需要更长的时间,并且额外的复杂性会使我们很难知道一系列假设中的哪一个驱动了结果。由于相关的原因,它也很容易对福利的影响进行过度解读。考虑到这一点,我提供了结构行为经济学的部分操作指南,包括:(I)估计方法的选择;(ii)异质性建模;(iii)识别和敏感性。最后,我讨论了主要行为模型估计的常见问题。我用文献中现有工作的精选报道来说明这一讨论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural Behavioral Economics
Abstract What is the role of structural estimation in behavioral economics? I discuss advantages, and limitations, of the work in Structural Behavioral Economics. I also cover common modeling choices and how to get started. Among the advantages, I argue that structural estimation builds on, and expands, a classical behavioral tool, simple calibrations, and that it benefits from the presence of a few parsimonious behavioral models which can be taken to the data. Estimation is also well suited for experimental work, common in behavioral economics, as it can lead to improvements in the experimental design. In addition, at a time where policy implications of behavioral work are increasingly discussed, it is important to ground these policy implications in (estimated) models. Structural work, however, has important limitations, which are relevant to its behavioral applications. Estimation takes much longer and the extra degree of complexity can make it difficult to know which of a series of assumptions is driving the results. For related reasons, it is also easy to over-reach with the welfare implications. Taking this into account, I provide a partial how-to guide to structural behavioral economics, covering: (i) the choice of estimation method; (ii) the modeling of heterogeneity; (iii) identification and sensitivity. Finally, I discuss common issues for the estimation of leading behavioral models. I illustrate this discussion with selected coverage of existing work in the literature.
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