能源繁荣与美国制造业

William R. Melick
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引用次数: 11

摘要

本文考察了美国制造商对天然气价格变动所带来的竞争力变化的反应。我使用面板回归方法估计了大约80个行业的制造活动的各种措施的响应,这些方法允许每个行业的响应随其能源强度而变化。这些估计表明,自2006年以来,天然气价格的下跌与整个制造业活动增加2%至3%有关,对大多数能源密集型行业的影响更大,达到30%或更多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Energy Boom and Manufacturing in the United States
This paper examines the response of U.S. manufacturers to changes in competitiveness brought about by movements in the price of natural gas. I estimate the response of various measures of manufacturing activity using panel regression methods across roughly 80 industries that allow each industry’s response to vary with its energy intensity. These estimates suggest that the fall in the price of natural gas since 2006 is associated with a 2 to 3 percent increase in activity for the entire manufacturing sector, with much larger effects of 30 percent or more for the most energy intensive industries.
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