孟加拉国银行信贷与农业产出:计量经济学分析

M. Islam, M. Patwary
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项研究中,作者试图确定孟加拉国银行信贷与农业产出之间的关系。同时,研究了银行信贷对农业产出的影响评价。使用不同的计量经济学技术来确定银行信贷与农业产出之间关系的性质以及银行信贷的影响。共收集了孟加拉国银行年度报告和世界银行世界发展指标40年(1981-2020年)的年度时间序列数据。首先进行了平稳性和协整检验,然后使用向量误差修正模型进行分析,证实了银行信贷与农业产出之间的长期关系。此外,采用单变量和多变量OLS模型来确定银行信贷对农业产出的影响程度。两种模型都表明,银行信贷对孟加拉国的农业生产产生了积极而显著的影响。基于这些发现,作者建议孟加拉国的银行向农业生产系统分配额外的资金。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bank Credit and Agricultural Output in Bangladesh: An Econometric Analysis
In this study, the authors tried to identify the relationship between bank credit and agricultural output in Bangladesh. Simultaneously impact assessment of bank credit on agricultural output is also investigated. Different econometric techniques are used to determine the nature of the relationship between bank credit and agricultural output and the impact of bank credit. A total of 40 years (1981-2020) of annual time series data were collected from the Annual Reports of the Bangladesh Bank and World Bank’s world development indicators. Stationarity and cointegration tests were performed initially and then analyzed with Vector Error Correction Model, confirming a long-run relationship between bank credit and agricultural output. Additionally, univariate and multivariate OLS models are performed to identify the magnitude of bank credit’s impact on agricultural output. Both models revealed that bank credit positively and significantly affects agricultural production in Bangladesh. Based on these findings, the authors recommend additional fund allocation to the agricultural production system by the banks in Bangladesh.
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