汇率变化对巴西牛肉和鸡肉出口价格的传导(1997-2019年)

Leonardo Sangoi Copetti, D. Coronel, A. Souza
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这项工作的目的包括研究巴西牛肉和鸡肉出口价格的汇率之间的关系,这种关系被定义为汇率的传递,以1997年7月至2019年3月为参考。这些数据是从应用经济学高级研究中心(CEPEA)、世界银行应用经济学研究所(IPEA)和美国劳工统计局(BLS)的网站收集的。在这个意义上,时间序列工具被使用,特别是误差校正向量模型。结果表明,汇率对牛肉出口价格的传递程度是完全的,代表了竞争力。然而,对于鸡肉来说,传递系数是不完全的,这意味着汇率贬值一旦部分降低了出口价格,就不会转化为竞争力的显著提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
TRANSMISSÃO DA VARIAÇÃO DA TAXA DE CÂMBIO PARA OS PREÇOS DE EXPORTAÇÕES BRASILEIRAS DA CARNE BOVINA E DA CARNE DE FRANGO (1997-2019)
The objective of this work consisted of examining the relation between exchange rates in the Brazilian export prices of beef and chicken meat, relation defined as the pass-through of the exchange rate, having as reference the period from July, 1997 to March, 2019. The data were collected from the sites of Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics – CEPEA, the Institute of Applied Economics - IPEA, in WORLD BANK, and in the Bureau of Labor Statistics – BLS. In this sense, time series instrumentals were used, especially the Error Correction Vector Model. The results found indicated that the pass-through degree of the exchange rate for the export prices of beef occurred in a complete way, representing competitiveness. Yet, for chicken meat, the pass-through coefficient was incomplete, representing that the exchange rate depreciations do not translate themselves into significant gains in competitiveness, once that they reduce partially the export prices.
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