论用博弈论缓解生物恐怖主义

Ryan Layfield, Murat Kantarcioglu, B. Thuraisingham
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引用次数: 0

摘要

生物恐怖主义是对平民安全的严重威胁。流行病的性质要求仔细考虑感染可能传播的所有可能媒介。我们的工作采用SIR模型,并创建了现有模拟的详细混合,以允许探索大型搜索空间。然后,我们创建一个Stackelberg游戏,根据可用资源的投资来评估所有可能性,并考虑最终的场景。我们对实验结果的分析使我们有机会在考虑防御和进攻措施的情况下,对人口中心发生袭击时的最坏情况设定上限。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the mitigation of bioterrorism through game theory
Bioterrorism represents a serious threat to the security of civilian populations. The nature of an epidemic requires careful consideration of all possible vectors over which an infection can spread. Our work takes the SIR model and creates a detailed hybridization of existing simulations to allow a large search space to be explored. We then create a Stackelberg game to evaluate all possibilities with respect to the investment of available resources and consider the resulting scenarios. Our analysis of our experimental results yields the opportunity to place an upper bound on the worst case scenario for a population center in the event of an attack, with consideration of defensive and offensive measures.
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