迈向可持续发展:工业对二氧化碳排放的影响

M. Ghasemi, Mohammad Sadra Rajabi, S. Aghakhani
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在过去的几十年里,能源消耗和经济增长引起的环境危机越来越受到研究人员的关注。工业部门是每个国家经济增长的主要部分,使用保守能源并排放导致全球变暖的二氧化碳。《巴黎协定》和《京都议定书》是防止各国政府随意排放二氧化碳的两项协定。本研究的目的是调查水泥工业、钢铁工业和汽车工业产品对伊朗二氧化碳排放的影响,并根据它们对二氧化碳排放的测量影响对它们进行排名。本研究中使用的方法是以二氧化碳排放为因变量,用普通最小二乘(OLS)和广义矩法(GMM)方法估计水泥、钢铁和汽车工业产品的方程。检验平稳检验、Johansen协整检验、Durbin-Watson检验、Breusch-Godfrey检验、Chow断点检验和正态残差检验。实施样本内预测以检查估计的精度,并报告更新的排名作为最终结果,以考虑单位生产成本哪个行业对二氧化碳排放的影响大于其他行业。综上所述,水泥行业、钢铁行业和汽车行业对二氧化碳排放的积极影响最大。这一结果适合优先考虑提高绿色技术和优化工业生产的行业,以实现更可持续的经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Towards sustainability: The effect of industries on CO2 emissions
During the last decades, environmental crises through energy consumption and economic growth were noticed as a growing concern among researchers. The industrial sector is the main part of economic growth in each country using conservative energy and emitting carbon dioxide that causes global warming. The Paris agreement and Kyoto protocol were two agreements to prevent governments from emitting CO2 freely. Purpose of this research was to investigate the cement industry, steel industry, and automobile industry products’ effects on CO2 emissions in Iran and to rank them according to their measured effects on CO2 emissions. The methodology used in this study was to estimate equations with CO2 emissions as a dependent variable and cement, steel, and automobile industries’ products with ordinary least squares (OLS) and generalized moment method (GMM) approaches. Stationary, Johansen cointegration, Durbin-Watson, Breusch-Godfrey, Chow breakpoint, and normal residual tests were checked. In-sample forecasting was implemented to check the precision of the estimation and an updated ranking was reported as a final result to consider which industry has affected CO2 emissions more than the others per unit of production cost. In conclusion, the cement industry, steel industry, and automobile industry had the most positive effects on CO2 emissions, respectively. This result is suitable to prioritize the industries for enhancing green technology and optimizing industrial production for a more sustainable economy.
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