人口老龄化对区域经济增长的影响研究——以京津冀为例

Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Business, Economics, Management Science (BEMS 2019) Pub Date : 2019-05-01 DOI:10.2991/BEMS-19.2019.31

Dahui Zhou, Yong Yang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

人口老龄化对区域经济增长的影响是提高经济发展质量、规避经济风险的重要问题。以京津冀地区为例研究表明，京津冀地区老年人口比例较大，人口老龄化地区差异较大。通过建立双面板变系数固定效应模型和面板协整检验，发现人口老龄化与区域经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。无论是否存在时间效应，人口老龄化对北京和天津的经济增长有正向影响，对河北省的经济增长有负向影响。

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Study on the Impact of Population Aging on Regional Economic Growth: A Case Study of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei

The impact of population aging on regional economic growth is an important issue to improve the quality of economic development and avoid economic risks. A case study of BeijingTianjin-Hebei region shows that there is a large proportion of the elderly population in Beijing-TianjinHebei region and a large regional disparity in population aging. Through the establishment of a double-panel variable coefficient fixed effect model and panel co-integration test, it is found that there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between population aging and regional economic growth. Whether or not there is a time effect, the aging of the population has a positive effect on the economic growth of Beijing and Tianjin, and has a negative impact on the economic growth of Hebei Province.

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Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Business, Economics, Management Science (BEMS 2019)

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