基于交叉因素模型的“绿色”创业风险与威胁评估

O. V. Kozhevinа, L. Belyaevskaya-Plotnik
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摘要

这篇文章是作者在政府任务和赠款框架内进行的一些科学研究的延续,致力于确定领土的经济安全与“绿色”企业精神的发展之间的关系。本研究的目的是在考虑外部和内部因素作用的情况下,对向“绿色”创业过渡的各种条件下的领土经济安全状况进行建模评估。“绿色”创业是俄罗斯地区发展的优先领域,与实现俄罗斯到2030年的国家战略目标相一致。方法:在考虑“绿色”创业发展的基础上,采用交叉因素建模和积分分析法,计算经济安全状况及其结构成分的综合指数,并辅以因素的先验排序法,对各成分的贡献进行评估,对影响区域经济安全水平的因素进行优先级排序。结果:对俄罗斯联邦某些地区(莫斯科地区、列宁格勒地区、斯维尔德洛夫斯克地区、新西伯利亚地区、阿尔泰地区、克拉斯诺达尔地区)的经济安全状况进行了计算和测试。这些地区根据每个组成部分的价值进行排名,并根据经济安全的总体水平分别进行排名。各分析区域促进“绿色”创业发展的必要性。已得到证实,并确定了对经济安全水平有影响的刺激和阻碍因素,同时考虑到每一主题的“绿色”企业精神。结论和相关性:在已开发的跨因素模型的基础上,考虑到“绿色”创业的发展,所提出的评估已确定因素对区域经济安全水平的影响的方法,使建立区域评级并确定其发展中的激励和阻碍因素成为可能。在此基础上确定影响独立实体经济安全的工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Risks and Threats of "Green" Entrepreneurship based on Cross-Factor Modeling
The article is a continuation of a number of scientifc studies conducted by the authors within the framework of government assignments and grants, dedicated to identifying the relationship between the economic security of territories and the development of "green" entrepreneurship on them.Purpose: of the study is to model the assessment of the state of economic security of territories under various conditions of the transition to "green" entrepreneurship, taking into account the action of external and internal factors. "Green" entrepreneurship is a priority area for the development of Russian regions, consistent with the achievement of Russia's national strategic goals for the period up to 2030.Methods: in this work, cross-factor modeling and the method of integral analysis are used to calculate the composite index of the state of economic security and its structural components, taking into account the development of "green" entrepreneurship, supplemented by the method of a priori ranking of factors to assess the contribution of each component and justify the priority the selected factors affecting the level of economic security of the regions.Results: a three-component cross-factor model for assessing the state of economic security in certain regions of the Russian Federation (Moscow Region, Leningrad Region, Sverdlovsk Region, Novosibirsk Region, Altai Territory, Krasnodar Territory) had been calculated and tested. The regions were ranked according to the value of each of the components, as well as separately according to the aggregate level of economic security. The necessity of stimulating the development of "green" entrepreneurship in each of the analyzed regions. Have been substantiated and stimulating and discouraging factors that have an impact on the level of economic security, taking into account "green" entrepreneurship, pointwise in each subject, have been identifed.Conclusions and Relevance: the proposed approach to assessing the impact of the identifed factors on the level of economic security of the regions, taking into account the development of "green" entrepreneurship on the basis of the developed cross-factor model, made it possible to build a rating of territories and identify stimulating and discouraging factors in their development. On the basis of which to determine the tools for influencing the economic security in a separate entity.
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