行为金融学:伊斯兰观点

Halima Boukerroucha, Said Bouheraoua
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摘要

本文讨论了行为金融(BF)的问题及其在伊斯兰金融体系中的地位,以及应用伊斯兰金融和参数预测伊斯兰证券价格走势的可行性。它还探讨了市场效率和行为金融学方法之间协调一致的可能性。本文首先对有效市场假说(EMH)在确定影响证券市场价格变动因素方面的可信度提出质疑,特别是在严重的金融危机冲击金融市场之后。实证主义方法认为金融市场具有理性特征,可以纠正市场价值与公允价值的任何偏差,这一期望并未得到证实。本文采用归纳的方法,突出了与BF和EMH及其基本原理有关的最重要的观点,并采用分析批判的方法对这两种方法进行了分析。此外,本文还采用比较的方法,将伊斯兰金融方法与EMH和BF方法在研究股票走势方面进行了比较。这篇论文总结了一些发现。其中最重要的一点是,市场效率和行为金融学的方法总体上并不与伊斯兰金融的原则相抵触。此外,基于市场效率的理性方法与行为金融学之间的协调是服务于伊斯兰证券价格的最佳方法之一,并且符合伊斯兰金融的基本原则。然而,除非市场受到《教义》原则和法律规则的监管,否则这种协调仍将是一个抽象概念。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Behavioural Finance: An Islamic Perspective
This paper discusses the issue of behavioural finance (BF) and its place in the Islamic financial system as well as the feasibility of applying Islamic finance and parameters to forecast the movement of Islamic securities prices. It also explores the possibility of harmonisation between the approaches of market efficiency and behavioural finance. The paper starts with questions about the credibility of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) in determining the factors affecting the movement of prices in the securities market, especially after the severe financial crises that hit the financial market. The expectations of the positivist approach, which believes that the financial market is characterized by rationality and can correct any deviations of the market value from the fair value, were not borne out. The paper adopts the inductive approach, highlighting the most important views related to BF and EMH and their fundamentals, and also employs an analytical critical approach in analysing the two approaches. Furthermore, it adopts a comparative approach to collate the Islamic financial approach in studying the movement of stocks with the EMH and BF approaches. The paper concludes with a number of findings. The most important of these is that the approaches of market efficiency and behavioural finance do not, in general, contravene the principles of Islamic finance. Moreover, harmonisation between the rational approach based on market efficiency and behavioural finance is one of the best approaches to serve the price of Islamic securities and is in line with the fundamentals of Islamic finance. However, that harmonisation will remain an abstraction unless the market is regulated by Sharīʿah principles and legal rules.
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