地缘经济和地缘能源支柱作为东南欧地缘政治综合体动态中的地缘政治决策因素

Nikolaos Deniozos, Charis Vlados, Dimos Chatzinikolaou, Agis Digkas
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引用次数: 1

摘要

作为欧亚中东体系的一个子系统,东南欧的“地缘政治综合体”凸显了其地缘经济维度,因为在该地理区域发现碳氢化合物已成为一个主要的地缘政治因素,导致不同参与者之间的竞争、冲突和战略联盟。在这方面,特定的空间和时间起着至关重要的作用,因为在不确定和危险的条件下,决策过程已成为必要的地缘战略综合的重要决定因素。本文通过应用该地区行为者/参与者在不确定性和/或有限不确定性(风险)条件下的定量决策方法来探讨所考虑的主题;它考察了替代战略的选择,这些战略不仅突出了行动者地缘政治利益的最大化,而且还为已经形成的战略联盟提供了附加价值。它还试图通过提出一个理论模型来回答LNG接收站的建设如何从其位置和运营中产生多重效益的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Geo-Economic and Geo-Energy Pillar of Power as a Geopolitical Decision Making Factor within the Dynamics of the Southeastern Europe Geopolitical Complex
The “geopolitical complex” of Southeastern Europe, as a sub-system of the Europe-Asia-Middle East system, highlights its geo-economic dimension since the discovery of hydrocarbons in this geographical area has become a major geopolitical factor, resulting to competitions, conflicts, and strategic alliances among different actors/players. In this context, the particular space and time play an essential role, since the decision-making process has become a vital determinant of the necessary geostrategic synthesis under conditions of uncertainty and risk. This article approaches the subject under consideration by applying quantitative decision-making methods under uncertainty and/or limited uncertainty (risk) conditions by actors/players of the region; it examines the choice of alternative strategies that highlight not only the maximization of the actors’ geopolitical benefits but also provides added value to already formed strategic alliances. It also attempts to answer the question of how the construction of an LNG terminal can generate multiple benefits from its location and operation by presenting a theoretical model.
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